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JPMorgan vs. Citigroup: Which Big Bank Stock Is the Better Buy After Q3 Earnings?
Key Takeaways
Both banks posted solid Q3 growth and raised their full-year net interest income outlooks.
Citigroup offers better value, while JPM maintains superior profitability.
Citigroup has a higher dividend yield, but JPM has a stronger dividend growth track record.
Banking giants JPMorgan Chase (JPM - Free Report) ) and Citigroup (C - Free Report) ) kicked off third-quarter earnings season on Tuesday, delivering contrasting results amid an uncertain economic environment.
JPMorgan maintained its position as the industry leader in profitability and financial strength, despite a rare earnings miss. Meanwhile, Citigroup delivered impressive earnings growth as its multiyear restructuring efforts gained traction.
With both banks benefiting from stronger net interest income (NII), which stock offers investors the better opportunity following Q3 earnings?
JPMorgan vs. Citigroup: Q3 Results and Outlook
JPMorgan reported adjusted Q3 earnings of $5.75 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.94 by 3% despite increasing 13% from EPS of $5.07 in the prior-year quarter.
Reported revenue rose 8% year over year to $50.17 billion but also fell short of expectations of $52.2 billion. Nevertheless, trading revenue surged 15%, investment banking revenue increased 15%, and NII climbed 13% to $27.1 billion.
Encouragingly, JPMorgan raised its full-year NII outlook to $106.2 billion from $105.5 billion, while increasing its adjusted expense forecast to $108.6 billion from $107.5 billion.
Looking ahead to 2027, JPMorgan's preliminary outlook calls for NII excluding its Markets trading division of approximately $107 billion, supported by balance sheet growth and elevated interest rates.
CEO Jamie Dimon described the U.S. economy as solid, supported by resilient consumer spending and business investment, but cautioned that persistent inflation, rising interest rates, fiscal deficits, and geopolitical uncertainty remain potential headwinds.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
As for Citigroup, it surpassed earnings expectations, posting adjusted Q3 EPS of $2.85, topping the Zacks EPS Consensus of $2.66 by 7% and increasing 27% from $2.24 per share a year ago.
Revenue increased 8% to $23.85 billion, also surpassing forecasts of $23.66 billion, while NII surged 14% to nearly $17 billion. Notably, Citi's services revenue climbed 15%, equities revenue increased 14%, and wealth management continued to improve.
CEO Jane Fraser highlighted positive operating leverage and accelerating returns as evidence that the company's restructuring strategy is working. Citigroup now expects to exceed its 2026 return target, while working toward a return on tangible common equity of 11%-13% in 2027-2028 and 14%-15% over the longer term.
Furthermore, Citigroup raised its full-year NII growth outlook, now expecting NII excluding markets trading to increase in the mid-to-high 6% range, up from its previous forecast of 5%-6%
While Citigroup's improving NII outlook is encouraging, management continues to acknowledge risks from elevated interest rates, persistent inflation, and broader economic uncertainty.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Stock Performance and Valuation Comparison
Citigroup has outperformed JPMorgan in 2026, with C shares delivering a year-to-date total return of roughly 11% when including dividends, compared to around 6% for JPM.
Over the last three years, Citigroup has also been the stronger performer with a total return of +240% topping JPM’s nearly 150% gain, although both have outperformed the broader market.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, Citigroup still has the advantage, trading at 11X forward earnings, compared to 13X for JPM, and offering investors a more attractive entry point as its restructuring continues to improve profitability.
That said, JPMorgan's premium is supported by stronger returns on tangible common equity, reaching 20% in Q3 compared to Citigroup's 11.5%. This highlights JPMorgan's greater profitability, even as Citi narrows the gap.
Notably, JPMorgan’s forward P/E multiple is roughly in line with their Zacks Financial-Investment Bank Industry average, while both stocks trade at attractive discounts to the benchmark S&P 500's 22X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Dividend Comparison
As alluded to in their total return performance, dividend income is another important consideration, with Citigroup offering a slightly higher annual yield of 2.3%, compared to JPMorgan's 1.97%. Both yields top the industry average of 1.32% and the S&P 500’s 1.01%.
JPMorgan recently increased its quarterly dividend by 10% to $1.65 per share, equating to an annual payout of $6.60. Citigroup also raised its quarterly payout this year to $0.67 per share, or $2.68 annually.
This comes as Citigroup and JPMorgan have maintained substantial capital reserves to support shareholder distributions, although JPM's stronger profitability and established dividend growth record make it particularly appealing to long-term income investors.
To that point, JPM has increased its annual payout for 15 consecutive years, compared to Citigroup's three-year streak.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Conclusion & Strategic Thoughts
JPMorgan remains the stronger choice for investors prioritizing financial stability, consistent profitability, and long-term dividend growth. However, Citigroup arguably offers greater upside potential, considering its discounted valuation, accelerating earnings growth, and improving operational efficiency.
For investors comfortable with greater execution risk, Citigroup appears to be the more attractive value opportunity following Q3 earnings, while JPMorgan remains a more compelling core bank holding.
For now, JPMorgan and Citigroup stock both land a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting investors may want to await more favorable earnings estimate revisions before aggressively adding positions.
Image: Bigstock
JPMorgan vs. Citigroup: Which Big Bank Stock Is the Better Buy After Q3 Earnings?
Key Takeaways
Banking giants JPMorgan Chase (JPM - Free Report) ) and Citigroup (C - Free Report) ) kicked off third-quarter earnings season on Tuesday, delivering contrasting results amid an uncertain economic environment.
JPMorgan maintained its position as the industry leader in profitability and financial strength, despite a rare earnings miss. Meanwhile, Citigroup delivered impressive earnings growth as its multiyear restructuring efforts gained traction.
With both banks benefiting from stronger net interest income (NII), which stock offers investors the better opportunity following Q3 earnings?
JPMorgan vs. Citigroup: Q3 Results and Outlook
JPMorgan reported adjusted Q3 earnings of $5.75 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.94 by 3% despite increasing 13% from EPS of $5.07 in the prior-year quarter.
Reported revenue rose 8% year over year to $50.17 billion but also fell short of expectations of $52.2 billion. Nevertheless, trading revenue surged 15%, investment banking revenue increased 15%, and NII climbed 13% to $27.1 billion.
Encouragingly, JPMorgan raised its full-year NII outlook to $106.2 billion from $105.5 billion, while increasing its adjusted expense forecast to $108.6 billion from $107.5 billion.
Looking ahead to 2027, JPMorgan's preliminary outlook calls for NII excluding its Markets trading division of approximately $107 billion, supported by balance sheet growth and elevated interest rates.
CEO Jamie Dimon described the U.S. economy as solid, supported by resilient consumer spending and business investment, but cautioned that persistent inflation, rising interest rates, fiscal deficits, and geopolitical uncertainty remain potential headwinds.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
As for Citigroup, it surpassed earnings expectations, posting adjusted Q3 EPS of $2.85, topping the Zacks EPS Consensus of $2.66 by 7% and increasing 27% from $2.24 per share a year ago.
Revenue increased 8% to $23.85 billion, also surpassing forecasts of $23.66 billion, while NII surged 14% to nearly $17 billion. Notably, Citi's services revenue climbed 15%, equities revenue increased 14%, and wealth management continued to improve.
CEO Jane Fraser highlighted positive operating leverage and accelerating returns as evidence that the company's restructuring strategy is working. Citigroup now expects to exceed its 2026 return target, while working toward a return on tangible common equity of 11%-13% in 2027-2028 and 14%-15% over the longer term.
Furthermore, Citigroup raised its full-year NII growth outlook, now expecting NII excluding markets trading to increase in the mid-to-high 6% range, up from its previous forecast of 5%-6%
While Citigroup's improving NII outlook is encouraging, management continues to acknowledge risks from elevated interest rates, persistent inflation, and broader economic uncertainty.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Stock Performance and Valuation Comparison
Citigroup has outperformed JPMorgan in 2026, with C shares delivering a year-to-date total return of roughly 11% when including dividends, compared to around 6% for JPM.
Over the last three years, Citigroup has also been the stronger performer with a total return of +240% topping JPM’s nearly 150% gain, although both have outperformed the broader market.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, Citigroup still has the advantage, trading at 11X forward earnings, compared to 13X for JPM, and offering investors a more attractive entry point as its restructuring continues to improve profitability.
That said, JPMorgan's premium is supported by stronger returns on tangible common equity, reaching 20% in Q3 compared to Citigroup's 11.5%. This highlights JPMorgan's greater profitability, even as Citi narrows the gap.
Notably, JPMorgan’s forward P/E multiple is roughly in line with their Zacks Financial-Investment Bank Industry average, while both stocks trade at attractive discounts to the benchmark S&P 500's 22X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Dividend Comparison
As alluded to in their total return performance, dividend income is another important consideration, with Citigroup offering a slightly higher annual yield of 2.3%, compared to JPMorgan's 1.97%. Both yields top the industry average of 1.32% and the S&P 500’s 1.01%.
JPMorgan recently increased its quarterly dividend by 10% to $1.65 per share, equating to an annual payout of $6.60. Citigroup also raised its quarterly payout this year to $0.67 per share, or $2.68 annually.
This comes as Citigroup and JPMorgan have maintained substantial capital reserves to support shareholder distributions, although JPM's stronger profitability and established dividend growth record make it particularly appealing to long-term income investors.
To that point, JPM has increased its annual payout for 15 consecutive years, compared to Citigroup's three-year streak.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Conclusion & Strategic Thoughts
JPMorgan remains the stronger choice for investors prioritizing financial stability, consistent profitability, and long-term dividend growth. However, Citigroup arguably offers greater upside potential, considering its discounted valuation, accelerating earnings growth, and improving operational efficiency.
For investors comfortable with greater execution risk, Citigroup appears to be the more attractive value opportunity following Q3 earnings, while JPMorgan remains a more compelling core bank holding.
For now, JPMorgan and Citigroup stock both land a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting investors may want to await more favorable earnings estimate revisions before aggressively adding positions.